《當日大盤走勢圖》
圖片來源:蕃薯藤理財網
短評:
1.今日以低量、偏弱的買賣盤結構,而能以近當日最高點收盤,盤中高低點差距僅93.63點,可見買賣盤仍以觀望為主,但賣壓明顯減輕。
類股中以近日大宗物資大漲所引出的食品類股為最強,龍頭權值股亦於下半場表態拉高,使得指數墊高收盤。
2.週指數雖僅上漲約13點,但整週K線呈現163點的紅K線,為9000點以上的多頭留下接下來的攻堅勇氣,14日下半場的權值股轉強,可謂居多厥偉!
《三大法人本週進出變化》
(投信部分不含當日綜合帳戶買賣金額)
96年09月14日 三大法人買賣金額統計表 | |||
單位名稱 | 買進金額(元) | 賣出金額(元) | 買賣差額(元) |
自營商 | 3,297,381,367 | 2,991,758,967 | 305,622,400 |
投信 | 3,612,530,980 | 2,636,512,278 | 976,018,702 |
外資 | 28,822,919,000 | 19,378,959,253 | 9,443,959,747 |
合計 | 35,732,831,347 | 25,007,230,498 | 10,725,600,849 |
資料來源:台灣證券交易所
短評:
14日三大法人恢復買超107.25億,全週賣超則縮小至61.63億,外資整週總賣超則下降至111.19億,週五下半場顯然是重要關鍵。是否能持續週五情況,仍是未來影響大盤近期走勢之重要因素。
日期 | 外資 | 投信 | 自營商 | 合計 | ||||||
買 | 賣 | 總和 | 買 | 賣 | 總和 | 買 | 賣 | 總和 | ||
2007/09/13 | 162.11 | 183.36 | -21.25 | 28.66 | 35.17 | -6.52 | 26.29 | 37.90 | -11.61 | -39.37 |
2007/09/12 | 192.45 | 210.36 | -17.91 | 45.28 | 25.21 | 20.08 | 42.45 | 32.94 | 9.51 | 11.67 |
2007/09/11 | 189.86 | 228.35 | -38.49 | 45.23 | 32.15 | 13.08 | 42.70 | 34.46 | 8.24 | -17.17 |
2007/09/10 | 175.32 | 303.29 | -127.97 | 30.00 | 33.82 | -3.82 | 36.04 | 28.26 | 7.77 | -124.01 |
2007/09/07 | 239.00 | 181.15 | 57.85 | 47.15 | 41.78 | 5.37 | 48.33 | 34.65 | 13.68 | 76.91 |
2007/09/06 | 330.31 | 253.49 | 76.82 | 44.74 | 36.04 | 8.70 | 37.17 | 28.23 | 8.93 | 94.46 |
2007/09/05 | 253.67 | 251.45 | 2.23 | 61.03 | 32.01 | 29.03 | 38.48 | 40.76 | -2.28 | 28.97 |
2007/09/04 | 219.40 | 179.76 | 39.64 | 53.78 | 41.13 | 12.65 | 36.21 | 40.67 | -4.46 | 47.83 |
2007/09/03 | 207.58 | 191.58 | 16.01 | 60.87 | 33.19 | 27.69 | 44.54 | 41.75 | 2.78 | 46.48 |
2007/08/31 | 437.91 | 271.62 | 166.29 | 56.00 | 42.04 | 13.96 | 49.53 | 41.04 | 8.49 | 188.74 |
2007/08/30 | 339.40 | 232.92 | 106.48 | 60.79 | 34.62 | 26.17 | 54.68 | 38.46 | 16.23 | 148.88 |
2007/08/29 | 241.48 | 344.02 | -102.54 | 41.10 | 46.59 | -5.49 | 31.22 | 33.42 | -2.20 | -110.23 |
2007/08/28 | 221.91 | 238.01 | -16.10 | 37.81 | 34.35 | 3.46 | 34.14 | 26.67 | 7.47 | -5.17 |
2007/08/27 | 213.91 | 177.90 | 36.01 | 39.42 | 33.50 | 5.92 | 34.74 | 37.77 | -3.03 | 38.89 |
2007/08/24 | 229.34 | 289.20 | -59.86 | 39.66 | 24.57 | 15.09 | 48.64 | 30.81 | 17.82 | -26.95 |
2007/08/23 | 448.14 | 331.09 | 117.05 | 52.72 | 30.58 | 22.14 | 56.89 | 47.95 | 8.94 | 148.12 |
2007/08/21 | 258.97 | 277.93 | -18.96 | 64.82 | 37.62 | 27.20 | 49.75 | 45.36 | 4.39 | 12.63 |
2007/08/20 | 240.02 | 277.91 | -37.89 | 52.91 | 32.89 | 20.02 | 46.96 | 27.65 | 19.31 | 1.45 |
2007/08/17 | 247.27 | 540.88 | -293.61 | 78.96 | 34.33 | 44.63 | 52.08 | 63.69 | -11.61 | -260.59 |
2007/08/16 | 220.85 | 605.33 | -384.48 | 54.30 | 44.24 | 10.07 | 47.40 | 71.56 | -24.16 | -398.58 |
2007/08/15 | 214.76 | 447.50 | -232.74 | 33.55 | 28.25 | 5.30 | 35.71 | 78.07 | -42.36 | -269.81 |
2007/08/14 | 203.41 | 234.27 | -30.86 | 60.99 | 43.61 | 17.38 | 41.53 | 44.17 | -2.65 | -16.12 |
2007/08/13 | 205.61 | 245.59 | -39.98 | 48.13 | 29.29 | 18.84 | 43.16 | 33.39 | 9.77 | -11.36 |
2007/08/10 | 193.26 | 472.11 | -278.85 | 53.09 | 44.29 | 8.80 | 35.44 | 47.38 | -11.94 | -281.99 |
2007/08/09 | 343.35 | 240.82 | 102.53 | 71.67 | 26.06 | 45.61 | 69.33 | 48.24 | 21.08 | 169.23 |
2007/08/08 | 270.94 | 235.02 | 35.92 | 52.70 | 34.17 | 18.54 | 52.56 | 38.55 | 14.02 | 68.47 |
2007/08/07 | 219.98 | 282.89 | -62.90 | 59.47 | 38.05 | 21.42 | 38.25 | 49.89 | -11.63 | -53.12 |
2007/08/06 | 166.50 | 320.51 | -154.00 | 37.42 | 36.33 | 1.09 | 31.33 | 34.90 | -3.57 | -156.49 |
2007/08/03 | 327.94 | 292.21 | 35.74 | 70.25 | 31.91 | 38.34 | 67.20 | 51.67 | 15.53 | 89.61 |
2007/08/02 | 313.66 | 381.89 | -68.23 | 28.62 | 38.93 | -10.31 | 53.94 | 77.10 | -23.16 | -101.71 |
2007/08/01 | 352.88 | 842.80 | -489.92 | 84.79 | 34.77 | 50.01 | 67.15 | 85.86 | -18.71 | -458.63 |
2007/07/31 | 395.28 | 478.82 | -83.54 | 76.14 | 42.32 | 33.82 | 64.05 | 67.69 | -3.64 | -53.35 |
2007/07/30 | 335.50 | 613.28 | -277.78 | 44.08 | 36.21 | 7.87 | 52.31 | 69.21 | -16.90 | -286.81 |
2007/07/27 | 302.71 | 926.69 | -623.98 | 60.97 | 50.08 | 10.89 | 60.12 | 99.85 | -39.72 | -652.81 |
2007/07/26 | 378.93 | 329.90 | 49.03 | 84.32 | 46.14 | 38.18 | 69.63 | 98.01 | -28.38 | 58.83 |
2007/07/25 | 305.27 | 433.34 | -128.08 | 65.58 | 45.48 | 20.11 | 70.32 | 54.43 | 15.89 | -92.08 |
2007/07/24 | 423.35 | 271.82 | 151.52 | 63.41 | 29.77 | 33.64 | 76.56 | 82.40 | -5.84 | 179.32 |
2007/07/23 | 262.22 | 274.82 | -12.60 | 55.21 | 30.27 | 24.94 | 67.03 | 61.57 | 5.46 | 17.79 |
2007/07/20 | 365.24 | 259.90 | 105.34 | 54.35 | 32.33 | 22.02 | 69.90 | 58.22 | 11.68 | 139.03 |
2007/07/19 | 333.65 | 374.52 | -40.87 | 50.52 | 40.20 | 10.32 | 62.28 | 58.88 | 3.40 | -27.15 |
2007/07/18 | 334.26 | 367.46 | -33.20 | 77.41 | 41.41 | 36.00 | 69.17 | 61.71 | 7.46 | 10.26 |
2007/07/17 | 337.08 | 321.86 | 15.22 | 47.45 | 33.23 | 14.22 | 58.02 | 49.50 | 8.52 | 37.97 |
2007/07/16 | 264.89 | 350.64 | -85.74 | 61.52 | 33.32 | 28.20 | 56.44 | 76.42 | -19.98 | -77.53 |
拉長時間看,外資從8月下旬以來,進出動作並不大,若扣掉一些“黃皮膚外資”,真外資恐怕仍在觀望中!
《結論》
1.麻強四人組,政府、散戶(含本土投信)、內部人及大股東人頭戶、外資等,未齊力做多前,越過9000點都是警戒區,不容易輕鬆過9807點;在量能未明顯放大前,不會大漲,但也很難大跌!
2.9000點以上仍是投機行情為主,題材往往只是零星煙火的引信,要有大行情,就看能否再掀堅強強貪婪欲望,政府、外資、媒體廣播器,還有銀彈!缺一不可。否則,就應有高度投機紀律,不要投機不成又成為“長期投資者”!
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