《當日大盤走勢圖》

圖片來源:蕃薯藤理財網

短評:
1.今日以低量、偏弱的買賣盤結構,而能以近當日最高點收盤,盤中高低點差距僅93.63點,可見買賣盤仍以觀望為主,但賣壓明顯減輕。
類股中以近日大宗物資大漲所引出的食品類股為最強,龍頭權值股亦於下半場表態拉高,使得指數墊高收盤。

2.週指數雖僅上漲約13點,但整週K線呈現163點的紅K線,為9000點以上的多頭留下接下來的攻堅勇氣,14日下半場的權值股轉強,可謂居多厥偉!

《三大法人本週進出變化》
 (投信部分不含當日綜合帳戶買賣金額)

96年09月14日  三大法人買賣金額統計表
單位名稱
買進金額(元)
賣出金額(元)
買賣差額(元)
自營商
3,297,381,3672,991,758,967305,622,400
投信
3,612,530,9802,636,512,278976,018,702
外資
28,822,919,00019,378,959,2539,443,959,747
合計
35,732,831,34725,007,230,49810,725,600,849










資料來源:台灣證券交易所

短評:
14日三大法人恢復買超107.25億,全週賣超則縮小至61.63億,外資整週總賣超則下降至111.19億,週五下半場顯然是重要關鍵。是否能持續週五情況,仍是未來影響大盤近期走勢之重要因素。

日期外資投信自營商合計
總和總和總和
2007/09/13162.11183.36-21.2528.6635.17-6.5226.2937.90-11.61-39.37
2007/09/12192.45210.36-17.9145.2825.2120.0842.4532.949.5111.67
2007/09/11189.86228.35-38.4945.2332.1513.0842.7034.468.24-17.17
2007/09/10175.32303.29-127.9730.0033.82-3.8236.0428.267.77-124.01
2007/09/07239.00181.1557.8547.1541.785.3748.3334.6513.6876.91
2007/09/06330.31253.4976.8244.7436.048.7037.1728.238.9394.46
2007/09/05253.67251.452.2361.0332.0129.0338.4840.76-2.2828.97
2007/09/04219.40179.7639.6453.7841.1312.6536.2140.67-4.4647.83
2007/09/03207.58191.5816.0160.8733.1927.6944.5441.752.7846.48
2007/08/31437.91271.62166.2956.0042.0413.9649.5341.048.49188.74
2007/08/30339.40232.92106.4860.7934.6226.1754.6838.4616.23148.88
2007/08/29241.48344.02-102.5441.1046.59-5.4931.2233.42-2.20-110.23
2007/08/28221.91238.01-16.1037.8134.353.4634.1426.677.47-5.17
2007/08/27213.91177.9036.0139.4233.505.9234.7437.77-3.0338.89
2007/08/24229.34289.20-59.8639.6624.5715.0948.6430.8117.82-26.95
2007/08/23448.14331.09117.0552.7230.5822.1456.8947.958.94148.12
2007/08/21258.97277.93-18.9664.8237.6227.2049.7545.364.3912.63
2007/08/20240.02277.91-37.8952.9132.8920.0246.9627.6519.311.45
2007/08/17247.27540.88-293.6178.9634.3344.6352.0863.69-11.61-260.59
2007/08/16220.85605.33-384.4854.3044.2410.0747.4071.56-24.16-398.58
2007/08/15214.76447.50-232.7433.5528.255.3035.7178.07-42.36-269.81
2007/08/14203.41234.27-30.8660.9943.6117.3841.5344.17-2.65-16.12
2007/08/13205.61245.59-39.9848.1329.2918.8443.1633.399.77-11.36
2007/08/10193.26472.11-278.8553.0944.298.8035.4447.38-11.94-281.99
2007/08/09343.35240.82102.5371.6726.0645.6169.3348.2421.08169.23
2007/08/08270.94235.0235.9252.7034.1718.5452.5638.5514.0268.47
2007/08/07219.98282.89-62.9059.4738.0521.4238.2549.89-11.63-53.12
2007/08/06166.50320.51-154.0037.4236.331.0931.3334.90-3.57-156.49
2007/08/03327.94292.2135.7470.2531.9138.3467.2051.6715.5389.61
2007/08/02313.66381.89-68.2328.6238.93-10.3153.9477.10-23.16-101.71
2007/08/01352.88842.80-489.9284.7934.7750.0167.1585.86-18.71-458.63
2007/07/31395.28478.82-83.5476.1442.3233.8264.0567.69-3.64-53.35
2007/07/30335.50613.28-277.7844.0836.217.8752.3169.21-16.90-286.81
2007/07/27302.71926.69-623.9860.9750.0810.8960.1299.85-39.72-652.81
2007/07/26378.93329.9049.0384.3246.1438.1869.6398.01-28.3858.83
2007/07/25305.27433.34-128.0865.5845.4820.1170.3254.4315.89-92.08
2007/07/24423.35271.82151.5263.4129.7733.6476.5682.40-5.84179.32
2007/07/23262.22274.82-12.6055.2130.2724.9467.0361.575.4617.79
2007/07/20365.24259.90105.3454.3532.3322.0269.9058.2211.68139.03
2007/07/19333.65374.52-40.8750.5240.2010.3262.2858.883.40-27.15
2007/07/18334.26367.46-33.2077.4141.4136.0069.1761.717.4610.26
2007/07/17337.08321.8615.2247.4533.2314.2258.0249.508.5237.97
2007/07/16264.89350.64-85.7461.5233.3228.2056.4476.42-19.98-77.53

短評:
拉長時間看,外資從8月下旬以來,進出動作並不大,若扣掉一些“黃皮膚外資”,真外資恐怕仍在觀望中!


《結論》
1.麻強四人組,政府、散戶(含本土投信)、內部人及大股東人頭戶、外資等,未齊力做多前,越過9000點都是警戒區,不容易輕鬆過9807點;在量能未明顯放大前,不會大漲,但也很難大跌!

2.9000點以上仍是投機行情為主,題材往往只是零星煙火的引信,要有大行情,就看能否再掀堅強強貪婪欲望,政府、外資、媒體廣播器,還有銀彈!缺一不可。否則,就應有高度投機紀律,不要投機不成又成為“長期投資者”!



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